IMPACTFUL, IMPROBABLE EVENTS CAPTURE THE IMAGINATION
Attention is turning towards the low-probability events that can change the world.
Institutions are undergoing epidemic preparations. Harvard Business Review has an feature on pandemics with two sections written by noted decision science researcher Baruch Fischhoff. A podcast is available here.
A book on high-impact black swans debuted at number five on the NY Times best seller list.
Popular television shows 24 depict again and again how a few individuals, without special titles or power, can topple governments and kill millions.
Decision researchers are investigating how people infer the likelihood of low-probability events from experience and description.
It is a pandemic pandemic?