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How I Successfully Forecast The Results Of The UK General Election 2015
Paul Wilmott

Brought to you by Wilmott.com and the CQF Institute, Dr. Paul Wilmott talked about how he applied elementary quantitative finance techniques in the run up to the UK General Election 2015 to successfully predict the next government.
Comparisons are made between elections and derivatives valuation, and this allows forecasting pitfalls to be avoided, pitfalls that most, if not all, professional forecasters fell into. The results were thus far better than those made by said professionals.

CQF Turns Eleven
Wilmott Magazine

As the Certificate in Quantitative Finance marks its 11th year we take a look at the history of a program that has built a reputation on delivering far beyond expectations.

'Finance Focus' event: The Risky Horror Show with Andreas Binder
Organised by Wilmott magazine, 7city & UnRisk 8100 Views

Computational Finance is, in our understanding, the art of modelling financial processes and then to somehow calculate fair values of financial instruments.

There are intrinsically several traps which one should avoid: Different models for the underlying lead to different prices of derivatives. When models get too complicated, there is the danger of spurious accuracy, which may lead to a loss of criticism. Numerical methods for the valuation have to be chosen in such a way that they can handle the problem under consideration reasonably fast, stable and robust, ideally also for the Greeks.

In the calibration of models, there is the danger of local minima or of instabilitites when many parameters have to be identified.

We will give examples of risky horrors during the presentation.

The 4th Annual RiskMinds Insurance - 16-19 March 2015, Hotel Okura, Amsterdam
The 4th Annual RiskMinds Insurance
16-19 March 2015, Hotel Okura, Amsterdam


15% Discount for readers - VIP Code: FKN2429WLWB

RiskMinds Insurance is the most comprehensive event available for risk management in the insurance industry, providing CRO insights, regulatory updates & the latest in risk and actuarial modelling.

Highlights Include:

The CRO Thought Leadership Forum
15+ Leading CROs from AEGON, ALLIANZ, HOLLARD, JUST RETIREMENT, STANDARD LIFE, DELTA LLOYD, BEAZLEY, EULER-HERMES, STANDARD LIFE, ALLIANZ, HANNOVER RE GROUP, AVIVA LIFE and more discuss the key issues and future direction of the industry.

The Interactive 'Strategylab' Working Group Sessions
Work through the key challenges you face with your peers and garner defined outcomes to produce results to take back to the office.

The Closed-Door Supervisory Discussions
Discuss the important regulatory developments with leading supervisors and put your views forward in a closed-door environment.

The Regulation Summit - 16 March 2015
Join key regulators, CROs and industry practitioners to discuss the future of global financial regulation, the impact on the insurance industry and the strategic and practical challenges of implementation. Key speakers include: EIOPA, FINANSTILSYNET, FINANSINSPEKTIONEN, FINANCIAL SERVICES COMMISSION, GIBRALTAR, BANK OF ENGLAND

Value And Capital Management Workshop - 16 March 2015
Led by Thomas C. Wilson, CRO, ALLIANZ SE

For the latest agenda or to register online, please visit: http://www.riskmindsinsurance.com/FKN2429WLWB
Alternatively, call: +44 (0) 20 7017 7200 or email: info@icbi.co.uk
Remember to quote VIP code: FKN2429WLWB for a 15% discount!
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