UnRisk 8
Subscribe to Wilmott
Follow us on Twitter
join wilmott
login
forums
blogs
wiki
articles
audio visual
file share
news
events
jobs board
search
magazine
cqf
about us
subscribe
home
How I Successfully Forecast The Results Of The UK General Election 2015
Paul Wilmott

Brought to you by Wilmott.com and the CQF Institute, Dr. Paul Wilmott talked about how he applied elementary quantitative finance techniques in the run up to the UK General Election 2015 to successfully predict the next government.
Comparisons are made between elections and derivatives valuation, and this allows forecasting pitfalls to be avoided, pitfalls that most, if not all, professional forecasters fell into. The results were thus far better than those made by said professionals.

CQF Turns Eleven
Wilmott Magazine

As the Certificate in Quantitative Finance marks its 11th year we take a look at the history of a program that has built a reputation on delivering far beyond expectations.

Knock-in/out Margrabe: Wilmott Magazine Article
Espen G. Haug and Jørgen Haug 3919 Views

In this paper we push the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) formula to the limit by using it to value exchange-one-asset-for-another options with knock-in or knock-out provisions that depend on the ratio of the two asset prices. These option contracts are relevant to investors and traders concerned with the relative performance of securities, and they crop up in M&As.

Advertise your event here
Wilmott.com has a global membership of 100,000+ quants and risk managers, with a typical reader visiting once a week. Targeted access to top-level practitioners makes the Wilmott Events Board a highly effective way to contact future participants.

There are two ways to place your ad with us.

1. For a single ad, you can place it directly onto the Events Board on the Forum (log on and select 'new topic'). We will then direct you to our payment URL. The ad will remain hidden until we receive payment.

2. Alternatively, and to receive a bulk discount, you can send your ad(s) to us at events@wilmott.com and we will post it/them onto the board for you.

For details and costs, please contact events@wilmott.com.
Oanda
Latest Tweets
New & Improved Wilmott Jobs Board
Now Playing
Finance Focus: Bill Ziemba
Finance Focus: Robert Tong
Free Finance Focus Event with NAG and Wilmott
Latest Blogs
Paul
How I Successfully Forecast The Results Of The UK General Election 2015
14 05 15: 1:46 PM
NNT
Quiz 7 - The problem with "drift" (The 1st who gets it wins a copy of The Black Swan )
13 03 07:12:48 PM
Collector
Unified Book Launch Oslo
05 12 14:5:19 PM
Emanuel Derman
RSS Feed to Reuters Blog
01 07 11: 4:02 PM
Satyajit Das
The Truth of the Matter
04 11 13: 4:57 AM
DCFC
deMorgans Law
22 07 09: 3:04 PM
Pablo Triana
Models On Models
21 05 11: 4:49 PM
Jan Dash
New paper "Market Crises, Earthquakes, and the Reggeon Field Theory"
11 06 13: 2:36 AM
Dan Goldstein
Taxi Drivers Get Bigger Tips When Paid By Credit Card
10 03 10: 10:28 PM
Iris Mack
Secret Obamatrade Deal: America, the Next Detroit?
22 05 15: 10:13 PM
Cuchulainn
dd
27 04 15: 9:44 PM